Europe Must Be Saved!
Europe Must Be Saved!
Sams Dine Sy 28/09/2021
Under the terms of the federal parliamentary elections on 26th September 2021, Germany confirms two decisive deadlines for its future: putting the federal capacity in a state of hibernation the time o know the outcome of the US mid-term elections in 2022 and confirming by 2042 the adage that "and in the end it is Germany that always wins". This choice imposes a shock of inertia on any European initiative of international scope, while the USA pronounces itself and decides the fate of the Atlantic Alliance. The magnitude of this shock and its spillover effects on the entire European neighborhood make it necessary to fly to the rescue of Europe before it takes everything in its path.
Let's start by examining the potential consequences for Europe of the mid-term elections by sifting through the two competing US visions, each with direct consequences for its main European ally, Namely Germany. The analysis grid used here updates that of "the Seven Culture of Capitalism; Hampden-Turner V. & Tropenaars F. (1993) Double Day New York" which, using the typology individualism/universalism versus methodological holism/particularism, tries to classify countries and regions according to cultural determinants. Although this grid has been questioned, it is nevertheless a useful basis since the determinant is the policy entrepreneur figure (J.W. Kingdon: Agendas, alternatives, and public policies. 1984. Little, Brown).
The first vision is based on the demo-ressourcist theory which is embodied in the purest form of the policy entrepreneur deeply rooted in an individualism with universalist pretensions. The rest of the world exists only through its resources, which must be freely accessible. This vision makes it possible to justify the assimilation of the European Anglosphere into the neo-Westphalian system that has presided over the destinies of the United States since its creation. The aim is first of all to rebalance unfavorable demographic trends while assigning Europe the role of propeller as a projection and "containment" space for China and Russia. Germany is the beating heart of this helix given the degree of economic interdependence with these last two poles. It will then have to make a choice between assimilation to the Anglosphere around United States dragging Europe in its wake and isolation by breaking with NATO, which will then be interpreted as a war declaration. The call to order will be immediate as usual, whenever an allied country engages in the troubled game. To win this "war", Germany will soon have to deploy its military capacity directly after having subcontracted it to China since the 90s, thus revealing a patient, discreet and attentive process of building a power agenda. The coalition between Germany, China and Russia against the US is leaving the other European countries in the ledger to engage in the usual game of collaboration with each side in the hope of an outcome without a winner or loser after two decades of conflict and barbarism. As in the last world war, all riflemen, harkis and other "laptots" will be called upon to save Europe from debacle. There will be no other Marshall Plan since in the end everyone loses.
The second vision is based on a contradictory posture since it proclaims itself universalist and individualist in theory while in fact it is particularist and holistic. By dint of holding contradictory discourses, it attributes to the decline of the West exogenous causes so as not to tackle the explosion of inequalities, the aging of the population and the multiplication of extreme events. This posture nevertheless makes it possible to exclude supremacists and extremists while promoting bipartisan compromises. It is in the majority without seeking to assert itself as such. Hence all these unilateral, unpredictable, sometimes shocking decisions such as the underwater establishment of nuclear capacity in Australia for destructive use wherever necessary.
In the event of victory at the end of the mid-term elections, the difference with the first vision will be more on the form than on the fund. The integration of Europe - instead of assimilation - will be smooth if Germany manages to convince of the existence of an Anglo-Saxon community compatible in the name of methodological holism with the universalist ideals displayed by the USA in the face of the world. As proof, they agree on a Building Back Better World (B3W) initiative with a true large-scale architecture, a budget of more than US$ 6 Trillion and open to the Rest Of World (ROW). This integration nevertheless implies an institutional break unique in the history of the United States since this country is falling into a Post-Westphalian system whose contours have yet to be clarified. Germany's contribution to the definition of this system will be decisive given its political history. Everything will depend above all on its ability to emancipate itself from the ordo-liberal approach in order to better embody - if only in theory - the universalist vision. Two decades are not too much to accomplish this reversal because it will also be necessary to convince the European partners, especially from the South, rather rooted in a particularist and holistic conception both in theory and in practice. As an exchange of favors, they will be offered the opportunity to continue to serve as a watchdog of immigration especially in the South Mediterranean, provided however to break with the approach in force since the 60s which consists in an underground establishment of destructive capacities to annihilate all attempts at the emergence of independent states. The call to order will therefore multiply in the event of an attempt to fragment African countries to control everything. Moreover, a “Randomized Controlled Trial, RCT” is taking place in real time in the northern and southern Sahel at the end of which we will know if Europe is still being dragged into unnecessary wars causing its dissolution or if lucidity prevails.
The margins for saving Europe are very narrow and nothing in the European discourse facilitates the operation. Continuing to talk about the decline of the West or taking refuge behind the myth of the Great Replacement makes the task all the more difficult. There is no decline but a West that is destroying itself following the explosion of inequalities between and within countries downgrading the majority of its population; a West that takes refuge behind a climate- quietism to transfer the burden of the polluter to others with the complicity of the IPCC and all ecologists; and a West that prefers an aging population as an argument for reducing population growth, especially in countries with abundant youth. Similarly, in terms of major replacement, it might be time to take care of the one that takes place in real time when "English" and "Italian" gradually give way to "Germans" their place on the promenade and the boulevard.
Let's start by examining the potential consequences for Europe of the mid-term elections by sifting through the two competing US visions, each with direct consequences for its main European ally, Namely Germany. The analysis grid used here updates that of "the Seven Culture of Capitalism; Hampden-Turner V. & Tropenaars F. (1993) Double Day New York" which, using the typology individualism/universalism versus methodological holism/particularism, tries to classify countries and regions according to cultural determinants. Although this grid has been questioned, it is nevertheless a useful basis since the determinant is the policy entrepreneur figure (J.W. Kingdon: Agendas, alternatives, and public policies. 1984. Little, Brown).
The first vision is based on the demo-ressourcist theory which is embodied in the purest form of the policy entrepreneur deeply rooted in an individualism with universalist pretensions. The rest of the world exists only through its resources, which must be freely accessible. This vision makes it possible to justify the assimilation of the European Anglosphere into the neo-Westphalian system that has presided over the destinies of the United States since its creation. The aim is first of all to rebalance unfavorable demographic trends while assigning Europe the role of propeller as a projection and "containment" space for China and Russia. Germany is the beating heart of this helix given the degree of economic interdependence with these last two poles. It will then have to make a choice between assimilation to the Anglosphere around United States dragging Europe in its wake and isolation by breaking with NATO, which will then be interpreted as a war declaration. The call to order will be immediate as usual, whenever an allied country engages in the troubled game. To win this "war", Germany will soon have to deploy its military capacity directly after having subcontracted it to China since the 90s, thus revealing a patient, discreet and attentive process of building a power agenda. The coalition between Germany, China and Russia against the US is leaving the other European countries in the ledger to engage in the usual game of collaboration with each side in the hope of an outcome without a winner or loser after two decades of conflict and barbarism. As in the last world war, all riflemen, harkis and other "laptots" will be called upon to save Europe from debacle. There will be no other Marshall Plan since in the end everyone loses.
The second vision is based on a contradictory posture since it proclaims itself universalist and individualist in theory while in fact it is particularist and holistic. By dint of holding contradictory discourses, it attributes to the decline of the West exogenous causes so as not to tackle the explosion of inequalities, the aging of the population and the multiplication of extreme events. This posture nevertheless makes it possible to exclude supremacists and extremists while promoting bipartisan compromises. It is in the majority without seeking to assert itself as such. Hence all these unilateral, unpredictable, sometimes shocking decisions such as the underwater establishment of nuclear capacity in Australia for destructive use wherever necessary.
In the event of victory at the end of the mid-term elections, the difference with the first vision will be more on the form than on the fund. The integration of Europe - instead of assimilation - will be smooth if Germany manages to convince of the existence of an Anglo-Saxon community compatible in the name of methodological holism with the universalist ideals displayed by the USA in the face of the world. As proof, they agree on a Building Back Better World (B3W) initiative with a true large-scale architecture, a budget of more than US$ 6 Trillion and open to the Rest Of World (ROW). This integration nevertheless implies an institutional break unique in the history of the United States since this country is falling into a Post-Westphalian system whose contours have yet to be clarified. Germany's contribution to the definition of this system will be decisive given its political history. Everything will depend above all on its ability to emancipate itself from the ordo-liberal approach in order to better embody - if only in theory - the universalist vision. Two decades are not too much to accomplish this reversal because it will also be necessary to convince the European partners, especially from the South, rather rooted in a particularist and holistic conception both in theory and in practice. As an exchange of favors, they will be offered the opportunity to continue to serve as a watchdog of immigration especially in the South Mediterranean, provided however to break with the approach in force since the 60s which consists in an underground establishment of destructive capacities to annihilate all attempts at the emergence of independent states. The call to order will therefore multiply in the event of an attempt to fragment African countries to control everything. Moreover, a “Randomized Controlled Trial, RCT” is taking place in real time in the northern and southern Sahel at the end of which we will know if Europe is still being dragged into unnecessary wars causing its dissolution or if lucidity prevails.
The margins for saving Europe are very narrow and nothing in the European discourse facilitates the operation. Continuing to talk about the decline of the West or taking refuge behind the myth of the Great Replacement makes the task all the more difficult. There is no decline but a West that is destroying itself following the explosion of inequalities between and within countries downgrading the majority of its population; a West that takes refuge behind a climate- quietism to transfer the burden of the polluter to others with the complicity of the IPCC and all ecologists; and a West that prefers an aging population as an argument for reducing population growth, especially in countries with abundant youth. Similarly, in terms of major replacement, it might be time to take care of the one that takes place in real time when "English" and "Italian" gradually give way to "Germans" their place on the promenade and the boulevard.
Sams Dine Sy 28/09/202
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