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Global Foresight 
"World - Africa"; 2016

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About


Sams Dine Sy is a former independent international consultant, specializing in expert group management and capacity development in the following areas: global foresight, policy and project analysis, strategic planning and financial economics for research and innovation systems...




OVERWIEV

The Africa Capacitary Transformation (ACT) is a proposal for a paradigm shift and representations of the future of the world and humanity. The Global Foresight- which is indispensable and a prerequisite for the application of the ACT proposal - provides the methodological framework for specifying the major needs/requirements before constructing the scale of uncertainties and the scale of responses.
The exercise deals with the Major Requirements by separating the certainties from the uncertainties to obtain four levels of analysis:
  • Megatrends or certainties;
  • Radical Uncertainties or Key Questions;
  • Conflicting Issues-Actors or Uncertainties;
  • Challenges-Threats and Opportunities or Consensus Uncertainties.
This sequencing makes it possible to consider the Possible Responses at the four previous levels
  • Trendometrics or mega-trends data analysis;
  • Scenarios/crafting & story telling;
  • Visioning;
  • Strategic options/profiles.
The conduct of this exercise is based on the collection and analysis of a considerable amount of data on global developments from a multi-secular perspective. Hence the need for it to be carried out through delegation to expert groups and the management of sufficiently independent and pluralist opinions. At the end of this global foresight exercise, the Master Plan for Africa's Capacitary Transformation is drawn up.

The recommended approach represents a radical and creative break with the traditional approach of scenario planning, based on policy dialogue to select strategic orientations, action plans and projects inserted in a single political cycle with predefined stages. The break concerns firstly the choice of the unit of analysis, which radically departs from the traditional Westphalian state to focus on the post-Westphalian federal state. From radical, it becomes creative to renew policy analysis as an experimental science. This renewal, however, involves penetrating the labyrinth of its currents and theories and toolboxes, mapping their genealogy, their deployment in terms of circulation and reception within continents and states.
 
The preparation and design of the resulting Master Plan is part of a method that propels Africa to the worldwide frontier of this experimental science within the tripolar logical diagram combining Volitive Policy Analysis (VPA), Global Foresight (GF) and Capacitary Transformation (CT). It is at this frontier that the vision of a world at peace, a stable Africa and a united humanity is embodied in the long term and that the contours of the Defixator, Scalable and Assortive Post Westphalian Federal State are outlined.

In practice this translates into the concept of Moon Shots Africa and case studies drawn from current events (Covid Analytics) and focused on the challenges (CT Analytics) such as regional integration (Federal Eco-System 2.0), corruption, mediocrity, platforming.

Latests 

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12/05/2020
What kind of wild cards is Covid 19?
Covid Analytics for dummies points out the limits of forencic and cyndinic to justify the answers to this pandemic and proposes the use of the "Wild Cards"method resulting from the global foresight based on the exercises carried out to date and whose horizon exceeds 2020. 
 
01/2020

09/2019

09/19

08/19







Global Foresight & 
Capacitary Transformation  

 "World - Africa"

An overview of the Global Foresight exercice output

Mega trends

MEGA TRENDS
Demographic    Environmental    Socioeconouic
INVARIANTS
Aging     Anthropocene     Secular Stagnation
WILD CARDS
Workforce resources     Climate shocks     Inequalities
WEAK SIGNALS

Méga Trends :  Key Metrics

Demographic            Environmental             Socio-economic
60 years +                   Human forcing              GDP Growth
                          %                                 W/m²                               %                                   
                                   2015                       before 1750                        before 1820                                

12

Vieillessement depuis 2015

0

Antrhopocène avant 1750

0

Stagnation avant 1850

2050                         Since 2011                      Since 1820

21

Vieillessement vers 2050

2

Antrhopocène depuis 2011

4

Stagnation depuis 1820

_______________
About


Sams Dine Sy is a former independent international consultant, specializing in expert group management and capacity development in the following areas: global foresight, policy and project analysis, strategic planning and financial economics for research and innovation systems...




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To cite

The site brings together some of the work on Africa covering the fields of foresight, policy or project evaluation and design and press articles on current issues
When citing this entry, please cite the sources of the work posted on this site. This entry can be cited as follows:Sams Dine Sy - Global Foresight & Capacitary Transformation: World - Africa (online resource)

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Disclosure statement  

Sams Dine Sy says not to be affiliated with any interest group, not wouldn't, or receive funds of a any organization that can benefit from the exercise titled:

"World - Africa:
Global Foresight and Capacitary Transformation".